2026 · ReferenceVerify study

Reference audit of 100 theses approved in 2026

We audited 100 theses drawn at random from those approved in 2026 by the Turkish Council of Higher Education (YÖK) National Thesis Centre. Every one of the 13,961 references in these theses — from 60 different universities — was checked one by one against open scholarly databases.

100theses audited in full
13,961references checked individually
68.9%verified in the databases
476suspicious references (3.4%)

Finding

In one out of every two theses — 53 of them — at least one reference carried a broken digital object identifier: 369 references had a DOI that resolved to nothing at all, and 77 had a DOI pointing to a completely different publication. At the same time 47 theses contained no suspicious reference whatsoever; the distribution is sharp, with a single thesis accounting for 58 suspicious references.

Distribution of theses by number of suspicious references

Each column groups theses by how many suspicious references they contain; the grey column is theses with none.

How it was done

The sample was drawn by thesis number

Theses were selected at random by their national thesis number rather than by archive or university, so no institution, field or repository is over-represented. The random seed (20260920) is on record: a third party can reproduce the same 100 theses.

Full texts came from open access

All full texts were downloaded from the YÖK National Thesis Centre, from copies the authors had released for open access; the reference section was extracted and each entry queried separately.

The audit is deterministic

No generative AI was involved in the verification verdict: each entry was compared with Crossref, PubMed, Europe PMC, DOAJ, DataCite, Google Books and the Turkish national indexes, and every DOI was resolved.

The report is anonymous

No thesis, author or supervisor name was recorded at any point. The published dataset contains only thesis type, year and counts; none of the universities is named individually.

What “not verified” means

Not all of the 3,872 unverified references are faulty. The largest group is records for which no definite match could be established, followed by genuine metadata errors and source types that are not expected to appear in these indexes at all.

ReasonReferences
Match inconclusive1,576
Metadata error (author, year, title)1,109
Out of scope (books, theses, web pages)981
DOI problem (unresolvable or mismatched)456
Not found in any index214

Which database confirmed the reference?

No single index was relied upon; national catalogues were queried for Turkish-language sources.

DatabaseVerified
Crossref7,372
Google Books565
TO-KAT432
SOBIAD331
TR Dizin281
YÖK Ulusal Tez Merkezi117

Limitations

  • “Suspicious” is an automated verdict and requires manual confirmation; on its own it is not proof of fabrication. A DOI may fail to resolve simply because the publisher registered it late.
  • Verification rates fall in the humanities: Turkish books, Ottoman-era works and archival documents are absent from open databases and therefore count as “not verified”. This is a limit of coverage, not of the thesis.
  • The sample covers only theses released for open access; embargoed theses are outside it.
  • The study measures a single year (2026) and contains no comparison with earlier years, so it cannot support claims about an increase or decrease.

Data and reproducibility

Per-thesis results are published as an anonymous dataset: each row carries thesis type, year, reference count, verified/unverified/suspicious counts and a breakdown of problems. No university or thesis title is included.

Download the dataset (CSV)Download the chart (PNG)

Audit your own reference list

The same check runs in seconds on your own bibliography: every reference is searched in open databases, and unresolvable DOIs and metadata errors are flagged.

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